GAMMA SHIFT v5 — QUICK REFERENCE
🧲 Gamma walls are MAGNETS, not barriers. Price tends to drift TOWARD large negative gamma concentrations.
• Neg gamma above spot → bullish pull up
• Neg gamma below spot → bearish pull down
✅ What Works
• ZDS (0DTE Dominance Score) → best all-day directional signal
• GWB (Gamma Wall Bias) → strongest midday direction read
• Combined GWB + ZDS → highest conviction morning/1H trade
• Morning intraday tilt → best from 7:00–8:00 PT, optimal at 2h horizon
• LONG tilt signals are stronger than SHORT
🎯 Morning Tilt Sweet Spot (7:00–8:00 PT)
• Tilt > 75% + dominant strike 10–35 pts away → strongest LONG setup
• Sweet-spot tilt runs about 64–66% WR in morning windows
• Best holding period: 2 hours
• After 12 PM PT, tilt is mostly noise → skip
📏 Dominant Wall Distance
• 10–20 pts → real magnet pull
• 20–35 pts → strongest win rate
• <10 pts → already there, weak pull
• >35 pts → too far, skip gamma signal
⏰ Time-of-Day Rules
• 6:30–7:00 → skip, open drive noise
• 7:00–8:00 → tilt sweet spot 🎯
• 8:00–10:00 → strongest GWB + ZDS window
• 10:00–11:00 → still usable, but weaker
• 11:00–12:00 → favor ZDS only, GWB weakens/reverses
• 12:00+ → skip tilt, use levels only
🌡️ GEX + VIX Conditioning
• +GEX + low VIX → best environment, full-size gamma trades
• -GEX → more whipsaw, reduce size / widen stops
• VIX > 25 → gamma less reliable, size down or skip
🔬 Participant Hierarchy (new research)
• BD and Firm are more predictive than MM — watch their side bias
• BD and Firm agree = higher conviction signal
• BD/Firm bias >65% = strongly directional
📅 0DTE vs Dated Rules
• When 0DTE and dated agree → follow both
• When they disagree → follow dated (non-0DTE): 52.7% WR vs 45.4%
📊 GEX Regime Filter (critical!)
• POS GEX: tilt signal works → 52.6% WR
• NEG GEX: tilt signal BREAKS → 44.1% WR (anti-signal!)
• Always check GEX badge before trusting tilt
🎯 After-Move Confirmation
• Move UP + tilt confirms (>55%) → 57.7% continuation
• Move UP + tilt bearish (<45%) → 41.9% WR (fade risk)
• Only activate when ES moves ≥0.3% in 30 min
❌ Dead / Weak
• SFA is dead
• Afternoon GWB trades are weak
• Tilt alone after midday is weak
• Late-day tilt is noise